Posted by: mobilitycloud | December 28, 2011

Ten IT news stories we’ll read in 2012

It’s time to put a wrap on 2011 and start looking forward to where 2012 will take us so I found this column from Network World that predicts what stories we will be reading, starting with Meg Whitman getting HP back on track, scarier Cyberattacks, Apple’s market share growth, successful and failed mergers in mobile and yes the 2012 election will have plenty of input into technologies direction in the coming years. Happy New Year!

Ten IT news stories we’ll read in 2012

Whitman gets HP in order, cyberattacks get bigger and badder, Oracle and Google settle their Java dispute, and more

                    By Nancy Weil, IDG News Service December 27, 2011 12:40 PM ET

Well, we erred in our 2011 predictions in not repeating a 2010 forecast that Carol Bartz would be ousted as Yahoo CEO — it was bound to happen, we just called that one too early. Then again, we also predicted last year that Oracle would buy Salesforce.com and have decided not to repeat ourselves this year, so we’ll see if we were just ahead on that one, too. Meanwhile, these are our predictions for the next 12 months:

HP gets its groove back

Meg Whitman will be the needed tonic at Hewlett-Packard, which will regain its focus and footing over the course of 2012, showing steady, if slow, improvement. And, contrary to popular sentiment, webOS won’t die, but will find support in the open-source community of code writers and tinkerers.

Well, we erred in our 2011 predictions in not repeating a 2010 forecast that Carol Bartz would be ousted as Yahoo CEO — it   was bound to happen, we just called that one too early. Then again, we also predicted last year that Oracle would buy Salesforce.com   and have decided not to repeat ourselves this year, so we’ll see if we were just ahead on that one, too. Meanwhile, these   are our predictions for the next 12 months:

Cyberattacks get scarier

2012 will be the year that a cyberattack really does hit a U.S. public utility hard, taking down an electric grid. Along those   same lines, industrial control systems in Iran will be rocked with a sustained cyberattack that will make Stuxnet look like   child’s play in a year that increasingly will find that cyber-sabotage and cyberwar are realities that must be reckoned with.

Apple takes over

Other research firms will join Canalys in counting tablets in PC shipments, vaulting Apple into the top PC-maker spot globally   in the third quarter, overtaking HP. iPad 3 will launch in April and with it will come lower prices on iPad 2 versions, with   that inventory flying off of store shelves. After picking up market-share steam through midyear, iPad sales will level out   through the second half of 2012, though no other tablet will emerge as a serious competitor to the iPad’s lofty status.

Windows 8 won’t give Microsoft momentum

Windows 8 will be released and will depend on sales of new PCs loaded with that OS to catch on. Users who don’t intend to   buy new PCs will still be slowly upgrading to Windows 7 and won’t be inclined to jump ahead to 8 (though the trend of jumping   to Macs will continue). As for tablets, Microsoft isn’t going to catch fire in that market this late in the game because iPad   users tend to be crazy in love with their tablets and Android has a robust fan base now, too.

Bye-bye

AT&T’s failed merger with T-Mobile USA will cost it a fat $4 billion break-up fee, with AT&T getting only a mere roaming agreement   out of the proposed deal and no help at all for its spectrum crunch. AT&T CEO Randall Stephenson’s miscalculation in thinking   he could get the deal past U.S. regulators will cost him his job.

Mergers in mobile

Before the Research In Motion co-CEO structure topples under the shakiness of the company, whose market share will continue   to erode, RIM will be scooped up — Dell may be one likely buyer — and both James Balsillie and Mike Lazaridis will be shown   the door. In competitor news, Sprint’s recent boost in subscriber numbers won’t be sustained because it can’t continue to   rely on pulling in users via government-subsidized programs for low-income people, and by the end of 2012, the company will   also be on the auction block.

Join Larry’s network

Although Larry Ellison hasn’t made a splashy acquisition in a while and although buying RIM would be a slap at Google, we   think that Oracle will buy an enterprise social-networking vendor to bolster the push it has made into that area. (Yammer   or Jive, perhaps?)

Oracle and Google settle

Speaking of Oracle and Google, they’ll settle their dispute over Java-related patent claims, with Google agreeing to license   Java for an undisclosed amount.

Facebook makes a load of money, then faces reality

Once it goes public, and hits its rumored US$1 billion goal, Facebook leadership will increasingly be under pressure from   investors and shareholders to keep pulling in big bucks. But its share price will come back down to Earth after briefly soaring.   Privacy issues will continue to pester the site, as will the “improvements” that its development team rolls out in a seemingly   endless and steady stream. The reality of running a public company will prove burdensome and by year’s end there will be a   management shakeup at Facebook.

The 2012 election

Barack Obama will win re-election over Republican nominee Mitt Romney, with low voter turnout among Republicans, many of whom   never did — and likely never will — warm to the businessman and former Massachusetts governor. (Laugh if you will, but we   called the 2008 election for Obama in December 2007, despite the ridicule that brought.) The balance of power will also shift   in the House of Representatives back to the Democrats. Still, the current tide of legislation aimed at controlling the Internet   and its content, as well as the push to require ISPs and others to maintain data, and turn it over to authorities when requested,   will continue apace. As such, the U.S. will increasingly find itself at odds with the European Union, though other nations   will begin to push back as well, regarding data retention and privacy issues. One side effect will be that U.S. businesses   will increasingly find themselves hampered when it comes to winning government contracts in E.U. nations because of such legal   concerns and they will take their complaints about that to Congress.

http://www.networkworld.com/columnists/2011/122711-ten-it-news-stories-well.html?page=1

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